http://www.stats.govt.nz/~/media/Statistics/browse-categories/population/estimates-projections/changing-face-nzs-pop/changing-face-of-nzs-population.pdf
The article that I chose was entitled, "Changing Face of New Zealand's Population." This article states that New Zealand's population will grow slowly, if not non at all, in the future. This is because of the low fertility rate and the aging of the baby boomers, whom were born after World War ll. Looking at all of the projections, we can predict that the reason the population is growing very slowly, and will be for upcoming decades, is because there will be a narrowing gap between the birth rate and death rate and the aging population. Also, over the next 4 decades, the dependency ratio will more than double. However, the ratio will continue increasing, just at a much slower pace. This information from the article clarifies the reasons that New Zealand is in stage 4 of the DTM, because of the rate of their population growth. As of right now, New Zealand has a steady population growth, but soon it will be even slower than it is now, This is because the birth rates will be going down and the death rates will be going up. Another problem is the dependency ratio because when New Zealand reaches the high dependency ratio number, they won't have a lot of people working and that means that the people working will have to provide for them. If there are less people working then there are working, then there is no way the people working can provide for themselves and the people not working because there will be an uneven balance.
The article that I chose was entitled, "Changing Face of New Zealand's Population." This article states that New Zealand's population will grow slowly, if not non at all, in the future. This is because of the low fertility rate and the aging of the baby boomers, whom were born after World War ll. Looking at all of the projections, we can predict that the reason the population is growing very slowly, and will be for upcoming decades, is because there will be a narrowing gap between the birth rate and death rate and the aging population. Also, over the next 4 decades, the dependency ratio will more than double. However, the ratio will continue increasing, just at a much slower pace. This information from the article clarifies the reasons that New Zealand is in stage 4 of the DTM, because of the rate of their population growth. As of right now, New Zealand has a steady population growth, but soon it will be even slower than it is now, This is because the birth rates will be going down and the death rates will be going up. Another problem is the dependency ratio because when New Zealand reaches the high dependency ratio number, they won't have a lot of people working and that means that the people working will have to provide for them. If there are less people working then there are working, then there is no way the people working can provide for themselves and the people not working because there will be an uneven balance.